Nov 16, 2007

Updated NE Undefeated Watch

Pittsburgh and the Giants are obviously the biggest obstacles remaining for the Patriots. Here is the updated probability NE will finish the regular season undefeated.











VprobVisitorHomeHprob
0.88NEBUF0.12
0.09PHINE0.91
0.90NEBAL0.10
0.21PITNE0.79
0.03NYJNE0.97
0.03MIANE0.97
0.81NENYG0.19


0.88*0.91*.90*0.79*0.97*0.97*0.19 = 0.45

3 comments:

  1. I think you have the win probabilities backwards. Thanks for running a great site! Your stuff is great.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Is there a 24% chance NE will tie the jets?

    ReplyDelete
  3. No, but there is a 100% chance I'll screw up this post.

    Corrected...again.

    ReplyDelete