Season Win Projections Week 14

Season win totals and division standing projections are listed below. As before, projections are based on each team's opponent-adjusted generic win probability (GWP). The projections account for future opponent strength (Fut Opp), and projected wins (proj W) is a total of current and estimated future wins. The methodology is described more fully here. Precise playoff predictions based on individual game probabilities can be found at NFL Forecast.

Team	Rank	Proj GWP	Fut. Opp	Current	Proj W
AFC E
NE	1	0.92	0.42	13	15.7
BUF	16	0.48	0.52	7	8.4
NYJ	19	0.36	0.59	3	4.1
MIA	28	0.24	0.56	0	0.7
AFC N
PIT	8	0.71	0.45	9	11.1
CLE	17	0.61	0.36	8	9.8
CIN	20	0.64	0.30	5	6.9
BAL	22	0.32	0.55	4	5.0
AFC S
IND	2	0.90	0.42	11	13.7
JAX	5	0.75	0.46	9	11.2
TEN	13	0.51	0.55	7	8.5
HOU	18	0.25	0.72	6	6.7
AFC W
SD	9	0.75	0.38	8	10.2
DEN	12	0.51	0.56	6	7.5
KC	25	0.38	0.44	4	5.1
OAK	30	0.11	0.74	4	4.3
Team	Rank	Proj GWP	Fut. Opp	Current	Proj W
NFC E
DAL	3	0.84	0.47	12	14.5
NYG	14	0.39	0.64	9	10.2
WAS	15	0.37	0.64	6	7.1
PHI	10	0.50	0.58	5	6.5
NFC N
GB	6	0.86	0.28	11	13.6
MIN	11	0.63	0.44	7	8.9
DET	26	0.27	0.55	6	6.8
CHI	31	0.20	0.56	5	5.6
NFC S
TB	4	0.90	0.26	8	10.7
NO	21	0.52	0.40	6	7.6
CAR	27	0.13	0.76	5	5.4
ATL	24	0.25	0.60	3	3.8
NFC W
SEA	7	0.81	0.34	9	11.4
ARI	23	0.52	0.35	6	7.6
STL	29	0.22	0.58	3	3.7
SF	32	0.12	0.56	3	3.4