Week 15 Game Probabilities

Win probabilities for week 15 NFL games are listed below. The probabilities are based on an efficiency win model explained here and here with some modifications. The model considers offensive and defensive efficiency stats including running, passing, sacks, turnover rates, and penalty rates. Team stats are adjusted for previous opponent strength.

Pwin	GAME	Pwin
0.48	NO at CHI	0.52
0.27	TB at ATL	0.73
0.53	PIT at BAL	0.47
0.20	DEN at CAR	0.80
0.83	WAS at CIN	0.17
0.69	TEN at HOU	0.31
0.05	DET at IND	0.95
0.57	GB at JAX	0.43
0.83	SD at KC	0.17
0.16	SF at MIA	0.84
0.37	BUF at NYJ	0.63
0.65	SEA at STL	0.35
0.26	MIN at ARI	0.74
0.61	NE at OAK	0.39
0.56	NYG at DAL	0.44
0.08	CLE at PHI	0.92