Week 16 Game Probabilities

Win probabilities for week 16 NFL games are listed below. The probabilities are based on an efficiency win model explained here and here with some modifications. The model considers offensive and defensive efficiency stats including running, passing, sacks, turnover rates, and penalty rates. Team stats are adjusted for previous opponent strength.

Pwin	GAME	Pwin
0.65	IND at JAX	0.35
0.40	BAL at DAL	0.60
0.42	CIN at CLE	0.58
0.90	NO at DET	0.10
0.77	MIA at KC	0.23
0.67	ATL at MIN	0.33
0.48	ARI at NE	0.52
0.50	CAR at NYG	0.50
0.67	SF at STL	0.33
0.51	PIT at TEN	0.49
0.53	PHI at WAS	0.47
0.27	BUF at DEN	0.73
0.60	HOU at OAK	0.40
0.57	NYJ at SEA	0.43
0.45	SD at TB	0.55
0.32	GB at CHI	0.68