<?xml version='1.0' encoding='UTF-8'?><?xml-stylesheet href="http://www.blogger.com/styles/atom.css" type="text/css"?><feed xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom' xmlns:openSearch='http://a9.com/-/spec/opensearchrss/1.0/'><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post1026243607504802893..comments</id><updated>2008-10-06T17:30:25.015-04:00</updated><category term='fallacies'/><category term='quarterbacks'/><category term='Tables'/><category term='Julius Peppers'/><category term='basketball'/><category term='team rankings'/><category term='standings forecast'/><category term='Baltimore Ravens'/><category term='field position'/><category term='strategy'/><category term='community'/><category term='predictions'/><category term='player rankings'/><category term='other sports'/><category term='Washington Redskins'/><category term='Jeff Backus'/><category term='game theory'/><category term='Brian Urlacher'/><category term='general'/><category term='win probability'/><category term='player analysis'/><category term='Johnny Knox'/><category term='visualizations'/><category term='Matt Forte'/><category term='Zack Follett'/><category term='carson'/><category term='rev'/><category term='analysis'/><category term='fantasy'/><category term='cheating'/><category term='Ndamukong Suh'/><category term='QB Rating'/><category term='Detroit Lions'/><category term='Chicago Bears'/><category term='site news'/><category term='Rex Grossman'/><category term='New York Jets'/><category term='Jay Cutler'/><category term='Terrell Suggs'/><category term='draft2'/><category term='run-pass balance'/><category term='special teams'/><category term='weather'/><category term='pass rush'/><category term='overtime'/><category term='The Weekly League'/><category term='Corey Williams'/><category term='injuries'/><category term='4th down'/><category term='reviews'/><category term='Matthew Stafford'/><category term='playoff forecasts'/><category term='research'/><category term='basic'/><category term='LarDarius Webb'/><category term='team efficiency'/><category term='roundup'/><category term='game analysis'/><category term='washington post'/><category term='turnovers'/><category term='Green Bay Packers'/><category term='draft'/><category term='commentary'/><category term='offensive line'/><category term='kickers'/><category term='luck'/><category term='salary'/><category term='Game Preview'/><category term='home field advantage'/><category term='shotgun'/><category term='team analysis'/><category term='coaching'/><category term='opinion'/><category term='New Orleans Saints'/><category term='Ed Reed'/><category term='Mark Sanchez'/><category term='beating vegas'/><category term='team luck'/><category term='playoffs'/><category term='hockey'/><category term='Jameel McClain'/><category term='modeling'/><category term='kicking'/><category term='Markov Model'/><category term='running backs'/><category term='offense vs defense'/><title type='text'>Comments on Advanced NFL Stats: PIT-JAX in Win Probabilities</title><link rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#feed' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.advancednflstats.com/feeds/1026243607504802893/comments/default'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/38600807/1026243607504802893/comments/default'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://www.advancednflstats.com/2008/10/pit-jax-in-win-probabilities.html'/><author><name>Brian Burke</name><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image xmlns:gd='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005' rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><generator version='7.00' uri='http://www.blogger.com'>Blogger</generator><openSearch:totalResults>3</openSearch:totalResults><openSearch:startIndex>1</openSearch:startIndex><openSearch:itemsPerPage>25</openSearch:itemsPerPage><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-1291078392092983708</id><published>2008-10-06T17:30:00.000-04:00</published><updated>2008-10-06T17:30:00.000-04:00</updated><title type='text'>Horizontal lines I'll have tonight. Non-linear sca...</title><content type='html'>Horizontal lines I'll have tonight. Non-linear scales might be tough.&lt;BR/&gt;&lt;BR/&gt;Also, I left out a label for the trough at about 13 min left in the 4th quarter. PIT had a poor kick off return plus a penalty plus an 8-yd sack, and were pinned at their own 10. That put the JAX WP as high as 0.73.&lt;BR/&gt;&lt;BR/&gt;PIT managed a couple good gains to get the ball out past the 30. At this point they were down by 1 but had the ball with a 1st down, and therefore were slightly favored to win. But they were forced to punt on the next series.&lt;BR/&gt;&lt;BR/&gt;JAX put together a drive with a couple long gains, but ultimately punted as well. That's the second of the 2 big spikes for JAX in the 4th quarter.</content><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/38600807/1026243607504802893/comments/default/1291078392092983708'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/38600807/1026243607504802893/comments/default/1291078392092983708'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://www.advancednflstats.com/2008/10/pit-jax-in-win-probabilities.html?showComment=1223328600000#c1291078392092983708' title=''/><author><name>Brian Burke</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/12371470711365236987</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image xmlns:gd='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005' rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:in-reply-to xmlns:thr='http://purl.org/syndication/thread/1.0' href='http://www.advancednflstats.com/2008/10/pit-jax-in-win-probabilities.html' ref='tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-1026243607504802893' source='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/38600807/posts/default/1026243607504802893' type='text/html'/><gd:extendedProperty xmlns:gd='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005' name='blogger.itemClass' value='pid-1577162429'/></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-1090567432576061556</id><published>2008-10-06T17:02:00.000-04:00</published><updated>2008-10-06T17:02:00.000-04:00</updated><title type='text'>Interestingly, this very closely follows my optimi...</title><content type='html'>Interestingly, this very closely follows my optimism and dread for the game as I watched it (as a Pittsburgh fan).&lt;BR/&gt;&lt;BR/&gt;I would probably be useful if presented with a few horizontal lines to show % values with 0% in the middle and 100% for each team at the top and bottom.&lt;BR/&gt;&lt;BR/&gt;Also, I wonder if a linear scale is the best.  There are a lot of sharp peaks there.</content><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/38600807/1026243607504802893/comments/default/1090567432576061556'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/38600807/1026243607504802893/comments/default/1090567432576061556'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://www.advancednflstats.com/2008/10/pit-jax-in-win-probabilities.html?showComment=1223326920000#c1090567432576061556' title=''/><author><name>Dr Obvious</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/00966038406811006557</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image xmlns:gd='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005' rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:in-reply-to xmlns:thr='http://purl.org/syndication/thread/1.0' href='http://www.advancednflstats.com/2008/10/pit-jax-in-win-probabilities.html' ref='tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-1026243607504802893' source='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/38600807/posts/default/1026243607504802893' type='text/html'/><gd:extendedProperty xmlns:gd='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005' name='blogger.itemClass' value='pid-957472430'/></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-6781426285102767232</id><published>2008-10-06T16:37:00.000-04:00</published><updated>2008-10-06T16:37:00.000-04:00</updated><title type='text'>One mistake. The first JAX 4th down attempt was th...</title><content type='html'>One mistake. The first JAX 4th down attempt was the dip at about 20 min remaining, not at 35 min remaining.</content><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/38600807/1026243607504802893/comments/default/6781426285102767232'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/38600807/1026243607504802893/comments/default/6781426285102767232'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://www.advancednflstats.com/2008/10/pit-jax-in-win-probabilities.html?showComment=1223325420000#c6781426285102767232' title=''/><author><name>Brian Burke</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/12371470711365236987</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image xmlns:gd='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005' rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:in-reply-to xmlns:thr='http://purl.org/syndication/thread/1.0' href='http://www.advancednflstats.com/2008/10/pit-jax-in-win-probabilities.html' ref='tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-1026243607504802893' source='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/38600807/posts/default/1026243607504802893' type='text/html'/><gd:extendedProperty xmlns:gd='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005' name='blogger.itemClass' value='pid-1577162429'/></entry></feed>
