<?xml version='1.0' encoding='UTF-8'?><?xml-stylesheet href="http://www.blogger.com/styles/atom.css" type="text/css"?><feed xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom' xmlns:openSearch='http://a9.com/-/spec/opensearchrss/1.0/'><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post245434015259002130..comments</id><updated>2009-08-26T19:12:19.527-04:00</updated><category term='fallacies'/><category term='quarterbacks'/><category term='Tables'/><category term='Julius Peppers'/><category term='basketball'/><category term='team rankings'/><category term='standings forecast'/><category term='Baltimore Ravens'/><category term='field position'/><category term='strategy'/><category term='community'/><category term='predictions'/><category term='player rankings'/><category term='other sports'/><category term='Washington Redskins'/><category term='Jeff Backus'/><category term='game theory'/><category term='Brian Urlacher'/><category term='general'/><category term='win probability'/><category term='player analysis'/><category term='Johnny Knox'/><category term='visualizations'/><category term='Matt Forte'/><category term='Zack Follett'/><category term='carson'/><category term='rev'/><category term='analysis'/><category term='fantasy'/><category term='cheating'/><category term='Ndamukong Suh'/><category term='QB Rating'/><category term='Detroit Lions'/><category term='Chicago Bears'/><category term='site news'/><category term='Rex Grossman'/><category term='New York Jets'/><category term='Jay Cutler'/><category term='Terrell Suggs'/><category term='draft2'/><category term='run-pass balance'/><category term='special teams'/><category term='weather'/><category term='pass rush'/><category term='overtime'/><category term='The Weekly League'/><category term='Corey Williams'/><category term='injuries'/><category term='4th down'/><category term='reviews'/><category term='Matthew Stafford'/><category term='playoff forecasts'/><category term='research'/><category term='basic'/><category term='LarDarius Webb'/><category term='team efficiency'/><category term='roundup'/><category term='game analysis'/><category term='washington post'/><category term='turnovers'/><category term='Green Bay Packers'/><category term='draft'/><category term='commentary'/><category term='offensive line'/><category term='kickers'/><category term='luck'/><category term='salary'/><category term='Game Preview'/><category term='home field advantage'/><category term='shotgun'/><category term='team analysis'/><category term='coaching'/><category term='opinion'/><category term='New Orleans Saints'/><category term='Ed Reed'/><category term='Mark Sanchez'/><category term='beating vegas'/><category term='team luck'/><category term='playoffs'/><category term='hockey'/><category term='Jameel McClain'/><category term='modeling'/><category term='kicking'/><category term='Markov Model'/><category term='running backs'/><category term='offense vs defense'/><title type='text'>Comments on Advanced NFL Stats: Play Calling on 3rd and Short Part 2</title><link rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#feed' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.advancednflstats.com/feeds/245434015259002130/comments/default'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/38600807/245434015259002130/comments/default'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://www.advancednflstats.com/2008/09/play-calling-on-3rd-and-short-part-2.html'/><author><name>Brian Burke</name><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image xmlns:gd='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005' rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><generator version='7.00' uri='http://www.blogger.com'>Blogger</generator><openSearch:totalResults>2</openSearch:totalResults><openSearch:startIndex>1</openSearch:startIndex><openSearch:itemsPerPage>25</openSearch:itemsPerPage><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-3363604857580857676</id><published>2009-08-26T19:12:19.527-04:00</published><updated>2009-08-26T19:12:19.527-04:00</updated><title type='text'>Good to know, but there is a significant omission:...</title><content type='html'>Good to know, but there is a significant omission: 4th down.  With teams like USC who pretty much play 4 down football I would be willing to gamble on 3rd knowing that the defense is playing close to the line of scrimmage.  &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Furthermore, with the defense knowing that I am willing to throw and open up the field, I thereby win room at the line of scrimmage to give my running game a bigger advantage the following third down.  There is also an important distinction that needs to be made between 1st half and 2nd half third downs.  Many coaches play it safe and/or draw up intentionally confusing plays in the first two quarters to mislead the opposition&amp;#39;s tactics during halftime.  Then beginning in the second half, with little time to react, offenses execute their killer plays.  &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Finally, time, score differential, and talent make a major impact on success of a run or pass play on 3rd and 1.</content><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/38600807/245434015259002130/comments/default/3363604857580857676'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/38600807/245434015259002130/comments/default/3363604857580857676'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://www.advancednflstats.com/2008/09/play-calling-on-3rd-and-short-part-2.html?showComment=1251328339527#c3363604857580857676' title=''/><author><name>John</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/00403555718960752698</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image xmlns:gd='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005' rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:in-reply-to xmlns:thr='http://purl.org/syndication/thread/1.0' href='http://www.advancednflstats.com/2008/09/play-calling-on-3rd-and-short-part-2.html' ref='tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-245434015259002130' source='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/38600807/posts/default/245434015259002130' type='text/html'/><gd:extendedProperty xmlns:gd='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005' name='blogger.itemClass' value='pid-1098554304'/></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-7257478563849037177</id><published>2008-09-03T10:10:00.000-04:00</published><updated>2008-09-03T10:10:00.000-04:00</updated><title type='text'>Great stuff</title><content type='html'>Great stuff</content><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/38600807/245434015259002130/comments/default/7257478563849037177'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/38600807/245434015259002130/comments/default/7257478563849037177'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://www.advancednflstats.com/2008/09/play-calling-on-3rd-and-short-part-2.html?showComment=1220451000000#c7257478563849037177' title=''/><author><name>Anonymous</name><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image xmlns:gd='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005' rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img1.blogblog.com/img/blank.gif'/></author><thr:in-reply-to xmlns:thr='http://purl.org/syndication/thread/1.0' href='http://www.advancednflstats.com/2008/09/play-calling-on-3rd-and-short-part-2.html' ref='tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-245434015259002130' source='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/38600807/posts/default/245434015259002130' type='text/html'/><gd:extendedProperty xmlns:gd='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005' name='blogger.itemClass' value='pid-357021308'/></entry></feed>
