<?xml version='1.0' encoding='UTF-8'?><?xml-stylesheet href="http://www.blogger.com/styles/atom.css" type="text/css"?><feed xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom' xmlns:openSearch='http://a9.com/-/spec/opensearchrss/1.0/'><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post2534820146828864438..comments</id><updated>2008-11-11T00:27:50.898-05:00</updated><category term='fallacies'/><category term='quarterbacks'/><category term='Tables'/><category term='Julius Peppers'/><category term='basketball'/><category term='team rankings'/><category term='standings forecast'/><category term='Baltimore Ravens'/><category term='field position'/><category term='strategy'/><category term='community'/><category term='predictions'/><category term='player rankings'/><category term='other sports'/><category term='Washington Redskins'/><category term='Jeff Backus'/><category term='game theory'/><category term='Brian Urlacher'/><category term='general'/><category term='win probability'/><category term='player analysis'/><category term='Johnny Knox'/><category term='visualizations'/><category term='Matt Forte'/><category term='Zack Follett'/><category term='carson'/><category term='rev'/><category term='analysis'/><category term='fantasy'/><category term='cheating'/><category term='Ndamukong Suh'/><category term='QB Rating'/><category term='Detroit Lions'/><category term='Chicago Bears'/><category term='site news'/><category term='Rex Grossman'/><category term='New York Jets'/><category term='Jay Cutler'/><category term='Terrell Suggs'/><category term='draft2'/><category term='run-pass balance'/><category term='special teams'/><category term='weather'/><category term='pass rush'/><category term='overtime'/><category term='The Weekly League'/><category term='Corey Williams'/><category term='injuries'/><category term='4th down'/><category term='reviews'/><category term='Matthew Stafford'/><category term='playoff forecasts'/><category term='research'/><category term='basic'/><category term='LarDarius Webb'/><category term='team efficiency'/><category term='roundup'/><category term='game analysis'/><category term='washington post'/><category term='turnovers'/><category term='Green Bay Packers'/><category term='draft'/><category term='commentary'/><category term='offensive line'/><category term='kickers'/><category term='luck'/><category term='salary'/><category term='Game Preview'/><category term='home field advantage'/><category term='shotgun'/><category term='team analysis'/><category term='coaching'/><category term='opinion'/><category term='New Orleans Saints'/><category term='Ed Reed'/><category term='Mark Sanchez'/><category term='beating vegas'/><category term='team luck'/><category term='playoffs'/><category term='hockey'/><category term='Jameel McClain'/><category term='modeling'/><category term='kicking'/><category term='Markov Model'/><category term='running backs'/><category term='offense vs defense'/><title type='text'>Comments on Advanced NFL Stats: Week 10 Game Probabilities</title><link rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#feed' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.advancednflstats.com/feeds/2534820146828864438/comments/default'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/38600807/2534820146828864438/comments/default'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://www.advancednflstats.com/2008/11/win-probabilities-for-week-10-nfl-games.html'/><author><name>Brian Burke</name><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image xmlns:gd='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005' rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><generator version='7.00' uri='http://www.blogger.com'>Blogger</generator><openSearch:totalResults>10</openSearch:totalResults><openSearch:startIndex>1</openSearch:startIndex><openSearch:itemsPerPage>25</openSearch:itemsPerPage><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-3378132294445016630</id><published>2008-11-11T00:27:00.000-05:00</published><updated>2008-11-11T00:27:00.000-05:00</updated><title type='text'>Don't know. Never bet anything, so I can't divide ...</title><content type='html'>Don't know. Never bet anything, so I can't divide by zero. :)</content><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/38600807/2534820146828864438/comments/default/3378132294445016630'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/38600807/2534820146828864438/comments/default/3378132294445016630'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://www.advancednflstats.com/2008/11/win-probabilities-for-week-10-nfl-games.html?showComment=1226381220000#c3378132294445016630' title=''/><author><name>Brian Burke</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/12371470711365236987</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image xmlns:gd='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005' rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:in-reply-to xmlns:thr='http://purl.org/syndication/thread/1.0' href='http://www.advancednflstats.com/2008/11/win-probabilities-for-week-10-nfl-games.html' ref='tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-2534820146828864438' source='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/38600807/posts/default/2534820146828864438' type='text/html'/><gd:extendedProperty xmlns:gd='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005' name='blogger.itemClass' value='pid-1577162429'/></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-3136932286728999755</id><published>2008-11-09T14:57:00.000-05:00</published><updated>2008-11-09T14:57:00.000-05:00</updated><title type='text'>ROI = return on investment (profit / money wagered...</title><content type='html'>ROI = return on investment (profit / money wagered)</content><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/38600807/2534820146828864438/comments/default/3136932286728999755'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/38600807/2534820146828864438/comments/default/3136932286728999755'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://www.advancednflstats.com/2008/11/win-probabilities-for-week-10-nfl-games.html?showComment=1226260620000#c3136932286728999755' title=''/><author><name>Anonymous</name><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image xmlns:gd='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005' rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img1.blogblog.com/img/blank.gif'/></author><thr:in-reply-to xmlns:thr='http://purl.org/syndication/thread/1.0' href='http://www.advancednflstats.com/2008/11/win-probabilities-for-week-10-nfl-games.html' ref='tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-2534820146828864438' source='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/38600807/posts/default/2534820146828864438' type='text/html'/><gd:extendedProperty xmlns:gd='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005' name='blogger.itemClass' value='pid-2106850388'/></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-3018809752640587031</id><published>2008-11-09T11:14:00.000-05:00</published><updated>2008-11-09T11:14:00.000-05:00</updated><title type='text'>I don't know. What does ROI mean? Rate of...someth...</title><content type='html'>I don't know. What does ROI mean? Rate of...something?</content><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/38600807/2534820146828864438/comments/default/3018809752640587031'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/38600807/2534820146828864438/comments/default/3018809752640587031'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://www.advancednflstats.com/2008/11/win-probabilities-for-week-10-nfl-games.html?showComment=1226247240000#c3018809752640587031' title=''/><author><name>Brian Burke</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/12371470711365236987</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image xmlns:gd='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005' rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:in-reply-to xmlns:thr='http://purl.org/syndication/thread/1.0' href='http://www.advancednflstats.com/2008/11/win-probabilities-for-week-10-nfl-games.html' ref='tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-2534820146828864438' source='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/38600807/posts/default/2534820146828864438' type='text/html'/><gd:extendedProperty xmlns:gd='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005' name='blogger.itemClass' value='pid-1577162429'/></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-3155749681007675041</id><published>2008-11-09T09:03:00.000-05:00</published><updated>2008-11-09T09:03:00.000-05:00</updated><title type='text'>What would your ROI be if you played your model ag...</title><content type='html'>What would your ROI be if you played your model against moneylines?</content><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/38600807/2534820146828864438/comments/default/3155749681007675041'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/38600807/2534820146828864438/comments/default/3155749681007675041'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://www.advancednflstats.com/2008/11/win-probabilities-for-week-10-nfl-games.html?showComment=1226239380000#c3155749681007675041' title=''/><author><name>Anonymous</name><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image xmlns:gd='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005' rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img1.blogblog.com/img/blank.gif'/></author><thr:in-reply-to xmlns:thr='http://purl.org/syndication/thread/1.0' href='http://www.advancednflstats.com/2008/11/win-probabilities-for-week-10-nfl-games.html' ref='tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-2534820146828864438' source='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/38600807/posts/default/2534820146828864438' type='text/html'/><gd:extendedProperty xmlns:gd='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005' name='blogger.itemClass' value='pid-2051261421'/></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-4007454760526430861</id><published>2008-11-07T14:08:00.000-05:00</published><updated>2008-11-07T14:08:00.000-05:00</updated><title type='text'>59-25, counting last night's game. 70.2%.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;P...</title><content type='html'>59-25, counting last night's game. 70.2%.&lt;BR/&gt;&lt;BR/&gt;Probs for TEN and NYG do seem whacky to me too. Both could win, you never know. But I learned a while ago not go against my own system.</content><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/38600807/2534820146828864438/comments/default/4007454760526430861'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/38600807/2534820146828864438/comments/default/4007454760526430861'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://www.advancednflstats.com/2008/11/win-probabilities-for-week-10-nfl-games.html?showComment=1226084880000#c4007454760526430861' title=''/><author><name>Brian Burke</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/12371470711365236987</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image xmlns:gd='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005' rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:in-reply-to xmlns:thr='http://purl.org/syndication/thread/1.0' href='http://www.advancednflstats.com/2008/11/win-probabilities-for-week-10-nfl-games.html' ref='tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-2534820146828864438' source='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/38600807/posts/default/2534820146828864438' type='text/html'/><gd:extendedProperty xmlns:gd='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005' name='blogger.itemClass' value='pid-1577162429'/></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-2846420362202947320</id><published>2008-11-07T13:57:00.000-05:00</published><updated>2008-11-07T13:57:00.000-05:00</updated><title type='text'>What's the win-loss record of these predictions?</title><content type='html'>What's the win-loss record of these predictions?</content><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/38600807/2534820146828864438/comments/default/2846420362202947320'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/38600807/2534820146828864438/comments/default/2846420362202947320'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://www.advancednflstats.com/2008/11/win-probabilities-for-week-10-nfl-games.html?showComment=1226084220000#c2846420362202947320' title=''/><author><name>schubie</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/03902084229952883298</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image xmlns:gd='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005' rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:in-reply-to xmlns:thr='http://purl.org/syndication/thread/1.0' href='http://www.advancednflstats.com/2008/11/win-probabilities-for-week-10-nfl-games.html' ref='tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-2534820146828864438' source='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/38600807/posts/default/2534820146828864438' type='text/html'/><gd:extendedProperty xmlns:gd='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005' name='blogger.itemClass' value='pid-960084757'/></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-2883478536480619813</id><published>2008-11-07T12:45:00.000-05:00</published><updated>2008-11-07T12:45:00.000-05:00</updated><title type='text'>Good thing you gave Denver the edge.  You picked u...</title><content type='html'>Good thing you gave Denver the edge.  You picked up a game on Vegas with that one.</content><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/38600807/2534820146828864438/comments/default/2883478536480619813'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/38600807/2534820146828864438/comments/default/2883478536480619813'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://www.advancednflstats.com/2008/11/win-probabilities-for-week-10-nfl-games.html?showComment=1226079900000#c2883478536480619813' title=''/><author><name>Brian</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/15394006910997218733</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image xmlns:gd='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005' rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:in-reply-to xmlns:thr='http://purl.org/syndication/thread/1.0' href='http://www.advancednflstats.com/2008/11/win-probabilities-for-week-10-nfl-games.html' ref='tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-2534820146828864438' source='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/38600807/posts/default/2534820146828864438' type='text/html'/><gd:extendedProperty xmlns:gd='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005' name='blogger.itemClass' value='pid-633139311'/></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-6724776724248341583</id><published>2008-11-06T07:40:00.000-05:00</published><updated>2008-11-06T07:40:00.000-05:00</updated><title type='text'>how do these probabilities corr. with beating the ...</title><content type='html'>how do these probabilities corr. with beating the point spread. Ex. arizona at .83 but with spread of -9.5 or NE at .4 with a spread of +3</content><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/38600807/2534820146828864438/comments/default/6724776724248341583'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/38600807/2534820146828864438/comments/default/6724776724248341583'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://www.advancednflstats.com/2008/11/win-probabilities-for-week-10-nfl-games.html?showComment=1225975200000#c6724776724248341583' title=''/><author><name>Anonymous</name><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image xmlns:gd='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005' rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img1.blogblog.com/img/blank.gif'/></author><thr:in-reply-to xmlns:thr='http://purl.org/syndication/thread/1.0' href='http://www.advancednflstats.com/2008/11/win-probabilities-for-week-10-nfl-games.html' ref='tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-2534820146828864438' source='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/38600807/posts/default/2534820146828864438' type='text/html'/><gd:extendedProperty xmlns:gd='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005' name='blogger.itemClass' value='pid-1308664060'/></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-7779258826574601288</id><published>2008-11-06T01:56:00.000-05:00</published><updated>2008-11-06T01:56:00.000-05:00</updated><title type='text'>wow. Tennessee at .33 against chi!!!! &lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;didn...</title><content type='html'>wow. Tennessee at .33 against chi!!!! &lt;BR/&gt;&lt;BR/&gt;didnt see that coming. or NYG at .27. i know Philly playing good, but 3 to 1 against NYG. wow.</content><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/38600807/2534820146828864438/comments/default/7779258826574601288'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/38600807/2534820146828864438/comments/default/7779258826574601288'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://www.advancednflstats.com/2008/11/win-probabilities-for-week-10-nfl-games.html?showComment=1225954560000#c7779258826574601288' title=''/><author><name>Anonymous</name><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image xmlns:gd='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005' rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img1.blogblog.com/img/blank.gif'/></author><thr:in-reply-to xmlns:thr='http://purl.org/syndication/thread/1.0' href='http://www.advancednflstats.com/2008/11/win-probabilities-for-week-10-nfl-games.html' ref='tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-2534820146828864438' source='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/38600807/posts/default/2534820146828864438' type='text/html'/><gd:extendedProperty xmlns:gd='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005' name='blogger.itemClass' value='pid-729210494'/></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-101653470444312745</id><published>2008-11-06T00:02:00.000-05:00</published><updated>2008-11-06T00:02:00.000-05:00</updated><title type='text'>Denver would have the slightest edge, 0.502 to 0.4...</title><content type='html'>Denver would have the slightest edge, 0.502 to 0.498.</content><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/38600807/2534820146828864438/comments/default/101653470444312745'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/38600807/2534820146828864438/comments/default/101653470444312745'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://www.advancednflstats.com/2008/11/win-probabilities-for-week-10-nfl-games.html?showComment=1225947720000#c101653470444312745' title=''/><author><name>Brian Burke</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/12371470711365236987</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image xmlns:gd='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005' rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:in-reply-to xmlns:thr='http://purl.org/syndication/thread/1.0' href='http://www.advancednflstats.com/2008/11/win-probabilities-for-week-10-nfl-games.html' ref='tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-2534820146828864438' source='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/38600807/posts/default/2534820146828864438' type='text/html'/><gd:extendedProperty xmlns:gd='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005' name='blogger.itemClass' value='pid-1577162429'/></entry></feed>
