tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post4270317807492874974..comments2012-02-07T05:46:46.775-05:00Brian Burkenoreply@blogger.comBlogger6125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-50477692932581580902008-11-25T08:52:00.000-05:002008-11-25T08:52:00.000-05:00Concur, this is incredibly interesting - perhaps you should proprietorize (is that a word, no...I didn't think so) them before you lose out on a profit making opportunity. <BR/><BR/>Anyhow, I digress, but as Steeler fan (sorry) I found this especially interesting as the Steelers are a team that is excelling both at sacking and being sacked. Which led me to wonder, how well they might be doing if they were average at avoiding sacks. <BR/><BR/>I used the 1.7 pts per/sack in the following manner(s). First I calculated Pythagorean wins as the season stands now, Pitsburgh is 7.53 estimated wins. Next, I took the NFL average number of sacks allowed and used it for the Steelers and adjusted the Points For total by a factor of 1.7/sack, to yield estimated wins 7.91. So if Pittsburgh could protect the QB (or Ben could protect himself) at the league average, they might have .5 more wins.<BR/><BR/>Next, I calculated the correlation of sack differential with wins across the league: r = -0.720 <BR/>and point differential: r = -0.723DeltaWhiskynoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-80674485227797373932008-11-24T22:28:00.000-05:002008-11-24T22:28:00.000-05:00Buzz-Forgot to credit you as I predicted. Rectified.Brian Burkehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12371470711365236987noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-77974763816987597012008-11-24T21:53:00.000-05:002008-11-24T21:53:00.000-05:00This is really great information and what I was looking for. I figured that the sack would be worth a heck of a lot, wasnt sure it would be about half as much as a turnover but it doesnt surprise me that it is very high. You look at the things that the Giants have done the last year give or take, winning by putting pressure on the QB and great offensive line play and you win the way that doesn't take one huge star to win. The more teams are able to put value on plays like these seems like the better they can build a team, and getting a strong DE seems to be a good way to spend your money to me.buzznoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-36688838609881727602008-11-24T17:47:00.000-05:002008-11-24T17:47:00.000-05:00My grandfather's name was Harold Bingo, and he invented Bingo.Brian Burkehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12371470711365236987noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-69927022329275951992008-11-24T14:55:00.000-05:002008-11-24T14:55:00.000-05:00my uncle invented the cobb saladAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-44161708890393049692008-11-24T07:53:00.000-05:002008-11-24T07:53:00.000-05:00I know the guy who invented this stat.Brianhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16462424620403517405noreply@blogger.com