tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post4483113418912090143..comments2008-11-18T23:14:25.835-05:00Brian Burkenoreply@blogger.comBlogger1125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-19113918046098030272008-11-18T23:14:00.000-05:002008-11-18T23:14:00.000-05:00Here's my analysis of prediction systems for the first 10 weeks of the 2008 NFL season (<A HREF="http://sites.google.com/site/thegloryofgambling/spreadsheets/nfl08_Andy%27sAnalysisv1_Wks1-10.xlsx?attredirects=0" REL="nofollow">here</A>). Brian Burke's system is included, and listed as "lineBurke" (to the far right). I converted his system's win probabilities to point spreads using smartcapper.com tools (<A HREF="http://www.smartcapper.com/tool_nfl_point_spread_calculator.html" REL="nofollow">here</A>). So now everyone can stop bugging Brian for his system's ATS record.<BR/><BR/>You can see various overall stats to the far lower right of the spreadsheet, for favs/dogs, home/away, and combinations thereof.<BR/><BR/>I left the formulas in there so you can see what's going on. I checked them against Todd Beck's stats (<A HREF="http://www.thepredictiontracker.com/" REL="nofollow">here</A>) as of last week and the calculations are accurate.<BR/><BR/>I have lots more analysis to do, and I'm currently working on version 2 that is much more user friendly and includes different types of stats, but here's at least the first version.<BR/><BR/>If you have any comments or requests for additional stats, please leave me a comment <A HREF="http://mostly-yes-mostly.blogspot.com/2008/11/analyis-of-2008-nfl-prediction-systems.html" REL="nofollow">here</A>. - AndyDisplay Namehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09024179762028353558noreply@blogger.com