tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post6003780441044691133..comments2008-12-11T19:53:09.527-05:00Brian Burkenoreply@blogger.comBlogger9125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-50303737477241782722008-12-11T19:52:00.000-05:002008-12-11T19:52:00.000-05:00109-52-1 for 68% correct. Someone always asks.Brian Burkehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12371470711365236987noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-17389801120744458402008-12-11T12:50:00.000-05:002008-12-11T12:50:00.000-05:00Typo fixed. Thanks.<BR/><BR/>Yeah, I got my first "first." Thanks AJ, you made my day.Brian Burkehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12371470711365236987noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-74991817156936261382008-12-11T12:47:00.000-05:002008-12-11T12:47:00.000-05:00Ed-No problem. HFA is part of the model.Brian Burkehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12371470711365236987noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-81899977349488244702008-12-11T12:27:00.000-05:002008-12-11T12:27:00.000-05:00Typo...<BR/>"Win probabilities for week 14 NFL games are listed below." should be week 15Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-63038206220689240032008-12-11T12:12:00.000-05:002008-12-11T12:12:00.000-05:00wow brian, you've got people "firsting" on your comments section. congratulations.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-17304511381340474882008-12-11T09:39:00.000-05:002008-12-11T09:39:00.000-05:00You are dealing with an idiot. I 'd meant to type in CHI rather than CAR. You have NO at number 9 and CHI at number 16 in team efficiencies. The probability of CHI winning is slightly higher than that of NO. I thought that home field advantage was not considered in the model. <BR/>This may have happened before but I've only just now noticed it.<BR/>EdAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-54211715104487202282008-12-11T09:34:00.000-05:002008-12-11T09:34:00.000-05:00Ed-I have CAR <A HREF="http://www.advancednflstats.com/2008/12/week-14-efficiency-rankings.html" REL="nofollow">ranked</A> #5 and NO ranked #9. Plus, NO's opponent is CHI, who is rated slightly higher than CAR's opponent DEN. Additionally, CAR is home and NO is away this week.Brian Burkehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12371470711365236987noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-2939297825051177362008-12-11T09:22:00.000-05:002008-12-11T09:22:00.000-05:00Is this an anomaly or does this happen with regularity? I've noticed that this week NO is above CAR in team efficiencies yet CAR have a greater probability of winning their game. <BR/><BR/>EdAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-15303187506204755092008-12-11T08:34:00.000-05:002008-12-11T08:34:00.000-05:001stAJnoreply@blogger.com