Koko Fantasy Rankings - Defense

Last but not least are Koko the Monkey's team defense rankings. In case you aren't familiar with the Koko rankings, they are the simplest projections possible based on previous-year performance. These are intended to serve as the baseline for the bare-minimum accuracy we should expect from all other fantasy projections. A full explanation can be found in the write-up for the QB rankings.

Defense point totals can vary widely depending on your league's scoring rules. For these rankings, I used turnovers, sacks, defensive TDs, and points allowed. Year-to-year correlations for turnovers and defensive TDs are extremely weak, but sacks and points allowed can be projected relatively well. I ignored special teams-based scoring, which should not have any effect on the rankings, as special teams stats are notoriously random and unpredictable.

Here are how sacks and points allowed regress in case anyone is curious.



Here are the final rankings. Regarding fantasy scoring for points allowed, every league is different. I didn't do the math required to estimate how many times a team with a given point average would fall into the various scoring "bins." Instead, I looked at my own league and saw they (very) roughly assign half a point for every point allowed below league-average, which is about 20 pts. So that's what I did here.





































RankDefenseSks/GInts/GFum/GPts Allwd/GTDs/GPts/GTotal
1PIT2.41.00.718.70.167.4118.8
2TEN2.31.00.719.00.167.2115.3
3BAL2.21.10.719.20.167.0112.4
4PHI2.41.00.720.10.166.6105.7
5NYG2.31.00.720.30.166.5103.9
6IND2.11.00.720.30.166.3100.0
7MIA2.31.00.720.80.166.299.6
8WAS2.01.00.720.30.166.298.6
9NE2.11.00.720.60.166.198.2
10MIN2.31.00.721.10.166.196.8
11TB2.11.00.720.90.166.196.8
12CAR2.21.00.721.00.166.095.7
13ATL2.21.00.720.90.166.095.3
14DAL2.51.00.721.80.165.993.7
15NYJ2.31.00.721.60.165.892.3
16CHI2.11.00.721.50.165.791.9
17SD2.11.00.721.40.165.791.1
18BUF2.01.00.721.30.165.690.1
19CLE1.91.00.721.50.165.689.6
20JAX2.11.00.721.80.165.587.5
21GB2.11.00.722.10.165.486.5
22OAK2.11.00.722.30.165.385.1
23SF2.11.00.722.10.165.385.1
24CIN1.91.00.721.80.165.385.1
25SEA2.21.00.722.40.165.283.8
26NO2.11.00.722.40.165.283.1
27HOU2.01.00.722.40.165.181.7
28ARI2.11.00.723.10.164.977.7
29DEN2.10.90.723.60.164.571.4
30STL2.11.00.724.00.164.470.6
31KC1.81.00.723.40.164.470.5
32DET2.10.90.725.10.163.860.0

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